MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER MODELLING OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS

A dynamical model for describing behavioural interventions for weight loss and body composition change
Navarro-Barrientos JE, Rivera DE and Collins LM
We present a dynamical model incorporating both physiological and psychological factors that predicts changes in body mass and composition during the course of a behavioral intervention for weight loss. The model consists of a three-compartment energy balance integrated with a mechanistic psychological model inspired by the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). The latter describes how important variables in a behavioural intervention can influence healthy eating habits and increased physical activity over time. The novelty of the approach lies in representing the behavioural intervention as a dynamical system, and the integration of the psychological and energy balance models. Two simulation scenarios are presented that illustrate how the model can improve the understanding of how changes in intervention components and participant differences affect outcomes. Consequently, the model can be used to inform behavioural scientists in the design of optimised interventions for weight loss and body composition change.
Reconstructing the knee joint mechanism from kinematic data
Reichl I, Auzinger W, Schmiedmayer HB and Weinmüller E
The interpretation of joint kinematics data in terms of displacements is a product of the type of movement, the measurement technique and the underlying model of the joint implemented in optimization procedures. Kinematic constraints reducing the number of degrees of freedom (DOFs) are expected to compensate for measurement errors and noise, thus, increasing the reproducibility of joint angles. One approach already successfully applied by several groups approximates the healthy human knee joint as a compound hinge joint with minimal varus/valgus rotation. Most of these optimizations involve an orthogonality constraint. This contribution compares the effect of a model with and without orthogonality constraint on the obtained joint rotation angles. For this purpose, knee joint motion is simulated to generate kinematic data without noise and with normally distributed noise of varying size. For small noise the unconstrained model provides more accurate results, whereas for larger noise this is the case for the constrained model. This can be attributed to the shape of the objective function of the unconstrained model near its minimum.
A Dynamical Systems Model of Intrauterine Fetal Growth
Freigoun MT, Rivera DE, Guo P, Hohman EE, Gernand AD, Downs DS and Savage JS
The underlying mechanisms for how maternal perinatal obesity and intrauterine environment influence fetal development are not well understood and thus require further understanding. In this paper, energy balance concepts are used to develop a comprehensive dynamical systems model for fetal growth that illustrates how maternal factors (energy intake and physical activity) influence fetal weight and related components (fat mass, fat-free mass, and placental volume) over time. The model is estimated from intensive measurements of fetal weight and placental volume obtained as part of (HMZ), a novel intervention for managing gestational weight gain in obese/overweight women. The overall result of the modeling procedure is a parsimonious system of equations that reliably predicts fetal weight gain and birth weight based on a sensible number of assessments. This model can inform clinical care recommendations as well as how adaptive interventions, such as HMZ, can influence fetal growth and birth outcomes.